中新网8月18日电 8月14日，国际油价在经历了13日的大幅下跌后小幅反弹，然而国内油价“五连跌”之势已难扭转。多家分析机构均预计本轮油价下调已成定局，调价后全国汽油价格有望普遍回归“五元”时代。

8月上旬以来，国际油价一直延续震荡下滑走势，并不断刷新低位。本轮计价期内，布伦特期货跌至2015年1月底以来新低，美原油WTI期货更是在8月13日跌至2009年3月初以来的低位，这也让国内成品油市场 “五连跌”预期渐浓。

北京石油交易所李玲燕表示：“由于上一计价周期末，国际油价基数较低，原油变化率在本计价周期一开始就处于负值低位。后期伴随国际油价的下滑，原油变化率保持下滑趋势，市场下调预期也在逐步加重。”

卓创统计数据显示，截至8月14日，即本轮发改委调价周期第9个工作日，原油价格变化率为-7.55%，对应成品油零售限价将下调280元/吨左右，折93号汽油每升约下调0.21元，0号柴油每升约下调0.23元。隆众石化分析师徐莹也认为，年内成品油实现“五连跌”基本已无疑虑。

在经历了8月4日的油价下调后，国内大部分城市93号汽油价格已经进入5元时代。而此次油价下调后，国内各地93号汽油价格有望普遍回归5元时代。

据中新网能源频道了解，如果8月18日24时油价调整落地的话，将是国内油价年内第8次下调。此前，国内油价已经历“五涨七跌”，并有过三次调价搁浅。据徐莹介绍，五涨七跌后，国内汽油价格共累计下调120元/吨，柴油价格累计下调185元/吨；折合汽油每升下调了0.09元，柴油每升下调了0.17元。油价总体已由上半年的小幅上涨转变为小幅下调。

5月中旬以来，汽柴油批发价格一直呈现下滑走势，并持续刷新低位。而在油价连跌的情况下，这一局面还在延续。截止8月17日，中宇资讯监测国内29个主要省区市中石油、中石化批发均价均大幅下滑。其中，国四93号汽油为6778元/吨，刷新自2015年2月10日以来新低；国四0号柴油为5441元/吨，刷新2010年中宇统计数据以来新低。(中新网能源频道)

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